Webex
Monetary policies worldwide are currently facing a number of challenges, including how to deal with the low level of nominal and real interest rates, how to deal with a persistent undershooting of inflation targets, how to align inflation expectations with the inflation target, how to deal with a changing inflation formation process, and how to gauge changes in the transmission of monetary policy impulses to the economy and inflation. Where actually is the effective lower bound of interest rates? How to incorporate unconventional policy tools such as outright asset purchases and forward guidance in the measurement of the policy stance and in the assessment of remaining policy scope? What do equilibrium and policy rates close to the effective lower bound imply for optimal monetary policy strategies, including the definition of price stability or the inflation aim? How has the post-crisis monetary policy toolbox performed; how should it develop further in the future? These and other topics are currently also reflected upon in global central banks’ ongoing monetary policy strategy reviews. The workshop will address several of these issues, combining insights from cutting edge academic research and policy makers’ practical experiences.
Scientific committee
Jakob De Haan, SUERF President; Ernest Gnan, OeNB and SUERF Secretary General; Giuseppe Grande, Banca d”Italia, Mario Pietrunti, Banca d”Italia, Stefano Siviero, Banca d”Italia, and Frank Smets, ECB and SUERF Fellow
Should the ECB Adjust its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?
Jordi Galí, CREI, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE presentationPaper 1 - Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target
Leonardo Melosi, EUI, Chicago Fed, CEPR, (paper with Francesco Bianchi and Mathias Rottner) presentationDiscussant: Flora Budianto, Economist, BIS – Presentation
Paper 2 - Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps: Implications for Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Sebastian Schmidt, Economist, ECB (paper with Taisuke Nakata) presentationDiscussant: Juan Passadore, Assistant Professor, EIEF – Presentation
Paper 3 - Corporate Leverage and Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Euro Area
Martina Cecioni, Banca d’Italia, (paper with Simone Auer and Marco Bernardini) presentationDiscussant: Carlo Altavilla, Head of Section, European Central Bank – Presentation
Paper 4 - Bank intermediation activity in a low interest rate environment
Leonardo Gambacorta, Head, Innovation and the Digital Economy, BIS (paper with Michael Brei and Claudio Borio) presentationDiscussant: Luisa Corrado, Professor of Economics, University of Rome Tor Vergata – Presentation
Paper 5 - Monetary policy options in a ‘low for long’ era
Richard Harrison, Bank of England, (paper with Martin Seneca and Matt Waldron) presentationDiscussant: Andreas Tischbirek, Assistant Professor of Economics, HEC Lausanne – Presentation
Paper 6 - On the negatives of negative interest rates and the positives of exemption thresholds
Romina Ruprecht, University of Basel, (paper with Aleksander Berentsen, University of Basel and FRB St. Louis, and Hugo van Buggenum, Tilburg University) presentationDiscussant: Kilian Rieder, Research Economist at the Oesterreichische Nationalbank –Presentation