SUERF Policy Notes and Briefs

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Date	Title	Author(s)
23 Jul, 2026	Which coherent corner? An options appraisal for Europe’s stablecoin choice Policy Note 413	Allan Pedersen \| Independent Researcher
23 Jul, 2026	One global shock, many inflation paths: Inflation propagation in a world of repeated supply shocks Policy Note 412	Patrick A. Imam \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Tigran Poghosyan \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
23 Jul, 2026	Detecting corporate vulnerabilities: Evidence on probability of default and earnings manipulation Policy Brief 1521	Nicolas Dierick \| European Central Bank (ECB) Lamia Allali \| European Central Bank (ECB) Alessandro Santoni \| European Central Bank (ECB)
23 Jul, 2026	United in diversity, constrained by heterogeneity? Inside the monetary policy village Policy Brief 1520	Martin Kocher \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank
23 Jul, 2026	Liquidity and capital requirements for stablecoins Policy Brief 1519	Tirupam Goel \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Ulf Lewrick \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Isha Agarwal \| University of British Columbia
23 Jul, 2026	Why do euro area consumers (not) invest in stocks? Policy Brief 1518	Dimitris Christelis \| University of Glasgow Ivan la Franca \| Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona (UAB) Dimitris Georgarakos \| European Central Bank (ECB) Tullio Jappelli \| University of Naples Federico II Geoff Kenny \| European Central Bank (ECB) Justus Meyer \| European Central Bank (ECB)
23 Jul, 2026	Dollar debt in a fragmenting world: When can inherited dollar debt be restructured into yuan? Policy Brief 1517	Felipe Benguria \| University of Kentucky Eugenio Rojas \| University of Florida Felipe Saffie \| University of Virginia
23 Jul, 2026	Conflicting policy signals and the transmission of monetary policy to long-term rates Policy Brief 1516	Sylverie Herbert \| Banque de France Paul Hubert \| Banque de France Mathias Le \| Banque de France
16 Jul, 2026	Money or MiCA’s stablecoin hybrid and the direction of the 2026 review credit? Policy Note 411	Allan Pedersen \| Independent researcher
16 Jul, 2026	Bond funds as a channel of global monetary policy transmission Policy Brief 1515	Miriam Koomen \| Swiss National Bank Pınar Yeşin \| Swiss National Bank Hugo Zweifel \| Swiss National Bank
16 Jul, 2026	The nexus between the deposit and risk-taking channels of monetary policy Policy Brief 1514	Jose E. Gutierrez \| Banco de España Enric Martorell \| Banco de España Mariya Melnychuk \| Banco de España
16 Jul, 2026	The credibility premium: Central bank independence and local-currency sovereign yields in emerging economies Policy Brief 1513	Adrian Alter \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Julia Bersch \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Albert Touna Mama \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Bright Quaye \| Washington University in St. Louis
16 Jul, 2026	A Euro-stability bond for fiscal discipline without instability Policy Brief 1512	Luciano Greco \| University of Padova Francesco Jacopo Pintus \| University of Verona Davide Raggi \| Ca’ Foscari University of Venice
16 Jul, 2026	Macroeconomic effects of the green transition in the euro area and critical mineral bottlenecks Policy Brief 1511	Anna Bartocci \| Bank of Italy Alessandro Cantelmo \| Bank of Italy Pietro Cova \| Bank of Italy Massimiliano Pisani \| Bank of Italy
16 Jul, 2026	When liquidity fails to predict spending: Self-insurance and the spending responses of affluent households Policy Brief 1510	Ettore Savoia \| Sveriges Riksbank
16 Jul, 2026	The ECB and the Hormuz shock: Lessons from 2021–22 Policy Brief 1509	Cinzia Alcidi \| CEPS Ignazio Angeloni \| Institute for European Policymaking (Bocconi)
9 Jul, 2026	On the (in)adequacy of stablecoins Policy Brief 1508	Ignazio Angeloni \| Institute for European Policymaking (Bocconi)
9 Jul, 2026	Money of the future: Key policy issues and three scenarios for 2035 Policy Brief 1507	Ulrich Bindseil \| TU Berlin Markus Brunnermeier \| Princeton University Darrell Duffie \| Stanford University Stefan Ingves \| Swedish House of Finance Martin Scheicher \| European Central Bank (ECB) Natacha Valla \| Sciences Po
9 Jul, 2026	Public signals and private biases in firms’ inflation expectations Policy Brief 1506	Filippo Natoli \| Bank of Italy Sharath Sonti \| University of California
9 Jul, 2026	Synthetic, but how much risk transfer? Policy Brief 1505	Alex Osberghaus \| University of Zurich Glenn Schepens \| European Central Bank (ECB)
9 Jul, 2026	Tilting external finance towards equity: Why sequencing of capital account liberalization matters Policy Brief 1504	Tobias Krahnke \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Wenjie Li \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
9 Jul, 2026	Green but not neutral: The life-cycle redistribution force of carbon pricing Policy Brief 1503	Barbara Annicchiarico \| Roma Tre University Jean-Guillaume Sahuc \| Banque de France Gauthier Vermandel \| Ecole Polytechnique
9 Jul, 2026	Trade wars, trade woes? Policy Brief 1502	Maria Manuel Campos \| Banco de Portugal
9 Jul, 2026	Central clearing, counterparty risk, and repo specialness Policy Brief 1501	Piotr Danisewicz \| Tilburg University Tobias Dieler \| University of Bristol Loriano Mancini \| USI Lugano Francesco Mazzari \| USI Lugano Julian Metzler \| European Central Bank (ECB)
1 Jul, 2026	How can AI influence the economy and monetary policy? Policy Note 410	Aino Bunge \| Sveriges Riksbank Bjorn Lagerwall \| Sveriges Riksbank
1 Jul, 2026	Populism and central bank independence: Legal erosion without governor dismissals Policy Brief 1500	Aline Scheurer \| KOF Swiss Economic Institute Jan-Egbert Sturm \| KOF Swiss Economic Institute Jakob de Haan \| University of Groningen
1 Jul, 2026	Fiscal consolidation increases political instability Policy Brief 1499	Philipp Heimberger \| Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) Anna Matzner \| Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw)
1 Jul, 2026	Designing stimulus policies: The costly trade-off between consumption and sustainable growth Policy Brief 1498	Matti Viren \| University of Turku
1 Jul, 2026	Explaining cross-country heterogeneity in debt overhang thresholds Policy Brief 1497	Rina Bhattacharya \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Alexei G. Goumilevski \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Carlos Guevara \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Justin Lesniak \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Flora Lutz \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
1 Jul, 2026	Financing Europe’s defence buildup: Who pays, and at what cost? Policy Brief 1496	Mathieu Boullot \| Banque de France Christophe Cahn \| Banque de France Edouard Challe \| Paris School of Economics Julien Matheron \| Banque de France
1 Jul, 2026	Hidden tail risks: Sectoral corporate vulnerabilities under stress Policy Brief 1495	Paul Konietschke \| Goethe University Frankfurt Julian Metzler \| European Central Bank (ECB) Aurea Ponte Marques \| European Central Bank (ECB)
1 Jul, 2026	The transmission of monetary policy through credit standards: Evidence on loan application discouragement in the euro area Policy Brief 1494	Georgios Mermelas \| University of Patras Athanasios Tagkalakis \| Bank of Greece
25 Jun, 2026	AI meets behavioural finance: Smarter tools for retail investors Policy Note 409	Marie Brière \| Amundi Investment Institute Karen Huynh \| Amundi Investment Institute Paula Niall \| Amundi Investment Institute
25 Jun, 2026	Insurance is vital to combat the effects of climate change Policy Brief 1493	Margherita Giuzio \| European Central Bank (ECB) Linda Rousová \| European Central Bank (ECB) Sujit Kapadia \| European Central Bank (ECB) Hradayesh Kumar \| EIOPA Luisa Mazzotta \| EIOPA Miles Parker \| European Central Bank (ECB) Dimitris Zafeiris \| EIOPA
25 Jun, 2026	Cyber risk and bank supervision: Lessons from the ECB Cyber Stress Test Policy Brief 1492	Nordine Abidi \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Leonardo Gambacorta \| Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Christoffer Kok \| European Central Bank (ECB) Leonardo Madio \| University of Padua Ixart Miquel-Flores \| European Central Bank (ECB) Alberto Partida \| European Central Bank (ECB)
25 Jun, 2026	When foreign capital buffers come home: Multinationals, internal capital markets, and the cross-border reach of macroprudential policy Policy Brief 1491	Björn Imbierowicz \| Deutsche Bundesbank Axel Loeffler \| Deutsche Bundesbank Steven Ongena \| University of Zurich Ursula Vogel \| Deutsche Bundesbank
25 Jun, 2026	What do inflation expectations actually measure? Policy Brief 1490	Juhana Hukkinen \| Bank of Finland Matti Viren \| University of Turku
25 Jun, 2026	Why Europe lags behind in high-tech sectors: The role of institutional and regulatory quality Policy Brief 1489	Jonathan Bothner \| University of Bayreuth Paloma Lopez-Garcia \| European Central Bank (ECB) Daphne Momferatou \| European Central Bank (ECB) Ralph Setzer \| European Central Bank (ECB)
25 Jun, 2026	Bank-based transmission and monetary policy asymmetry in the euro area Policy Brief 1488	Michael Pfarrhofer \| Vienna University of Economics and Business Anna Stelzer \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank
25 Jun, 2026	When memories fade, bad credit booms follow: Quantifying Minsky Cycles Policy Brief 1487	Kim Ristolainen \| University of Turku
18 Jun, 2026	Unlocking housing wealth in retirement? Evidence on consumer preferences for home equity release products Policy Brief 1486	Karolin Kirschenmann \| ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research Caroline Knebel-Seitz \| ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research
18 Jun, 2026	Climate-related financial policies: Rapid expansion, limited paradigm change Policy Brief 1485	Paola D’Orazio \| IESEG School of Management
18 Jun, 2026	Measuring inflation at a social subsistence level Policy Brief 1484	Gerard Eijsink \| De Nederlandsche Bank Beer Pruijt \| De Nederlandsche Bank
18 Jun, 2026	Monetary policy and housing overvaluation Policy Brief 1483	Nina Biljanovska \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Eduardo Espuny Diaz \| International Monetary Fund (IMF) Amir Kermani \| UC Berkeley Rui C. Mano \| International Monetary Fund (IMF)
18 Jun, 2026	Excess cost-push inflation in the euro area: Does weak competition matter? Policy Brief 1482	Dimitris Sideris \| Bank of Greece Georgia Kaplanoglou \| National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Georgia Pavlou \| Bank of Greece
18 Jun, 2026	Bank resilience is not system resilience: Market plumbing and macro-financial blind spots in emerging markets Policy Brief 1481	Gustavo Pessoa \| Fundacao Getulio Vargas
18 Jun, 2026	FinTech and bank credit risk: Does financial structure matter? Policy Brief 1480	Kefei You \| University of Greenwich Barbara Koranteng \| University of Greenwich Jan Klacso \| National Bank of Slovakia
18 Jun, 2026	More harm than good: Economic and welfare effects of punitive tariffs Policy Brief 1479	Anne Ernst \| Deutsche Bundesbank Natascha Hinterlang \| Deutsche Bundesbank Marius Jaeger \| Deutsche Bundesbank Nikolai Staehler \| Deutsche Bundesbank
11 Jun, 2026	SEPA’s silent success: Integration without recognition? Policy Brief 1478	Elisabeth Beckmann \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank Justus Meyer \| European Central Bank (ECB)
11 Jun, 2026	Consumer price stickiness in the euro area during an inflation surge Policy Brief 1477	Erwan Gautier \| Banque de France Cristina Conflitti \| Bank of Italy Daniel Enderle \| Vienna University of Economics and Business Ludmila Fadejeva \| Bank of Latvia Alex Grimaud \| Oesterreichische Nationalbank Eduardo Gutierrez \| Banco de España Valentin Jouvanceau \| Bank of Lithuania Jan-Oliver Menz \| Deutsche Bundesbank Alari Paulus \| Bank of Estonia Pavlos Petroulas \| Bank of Greece Pau Roldan-Blanco \| Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona (UAB) Elisabeth Wieland \| European Central Bank (ECB)

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SUERF Policy Notes & Briefs