Webex
The following questions will be addressed:
– What challenges does the corona crisis bring for forecasters?
– How to deal with fundamental uncertainty arising from the pandemic?
– Role of scenarios
– Which types of shocks are we dealing with?
– Implications for estimates of potential output and for inflation forecasting
– How to link epidemiological and economic models?
– Real-time economic indicators
– Role of sectoral analysis
– How to link firms’ financial analysis, banking sector analysis and conjunctural analysis/forecasting?
Impact of COVID 19 on sectoral insolvency rates in Austria
Martin Schneider, OeNB Presentation (pdf)